Tell me what I am missing!

Tell me what I am missing!

I have been thinking a lot about this company since summer 2024. There are couple of posts to verify that.

I am not expecting a squeeze. Obviously there is a chance for that but I do not see that probable. Or even worth thinking about. I would not hold my breath waiting for it.

And I think building your investment strategy ONLY on that is fukin delutional.

I am not waiting for a federal legalization either. Gonna be a nice bonus one day but not really the business case I see and look for.

During the last 2 weeks I have spent some 6hrs at Bloomberg’s terminal typing numbers of TLRY on my laptop and trying to make sthing out of them at home later.

The analysts covering TLRY are giving it price targets btw 1,5 - 3,0. I personally find that quite a fair range since they have their credibility and careers ie their rhino-skin in the game. And they are looking only 12 months ahead with their analysis.

I AM JUST SEEING SO MUCH MORE. AND I CANNOT FUKIN HELP IT.

I try to give few points of my thoughts for everyone interested to argue against and just bluntly prove me wrong. I really would appreciate that.

NOT JOKING.

People are crying that the company is making loss. On paper it is and probably will be for some time in order to digest the goodwill of Aphria merger and the breweries bought in the US lately.

BUT.

In 2024 (ending 5/31/2024) TLRY made a Net Income of -245M.

And still I hear the CEO calling it an even. And the analysts saying it´s an ADJUSTED tie of 0,00 of profit or whatnot.

In 2024 TLRY paid back loans worth of 188M (449M in 2023 to 261M in 2024 and the latest number being 252M 11/31/2024 and steadily counting down…

In 2024 TLRY booked in 85M worth of Depreciation and Amortizations.

These two mentioned above total 273M of ”money” off the profits.

And if understanding the fact that D&A are not away from cash flow, it’s a book keeping thing for tax cuts (for TLRY for many years ahead).

SO WE EITHER ALREADY ARE OR AT LEAST ARE REALLY CLOSE OF MAKING MONY. 

SERIOUS MONY.

AND WE ARE GROWING WITH A HELLAWA GOOD PROFIT MARGINS IN BEER AND WELLNESS. AND THE DISTRIBUTION (MEDICAL) IS OUR GAME BOTH IN SOUTH-EAST ASIA AND EUROPE. AND THEY ARE EXPECTED TO FUKIN BOOM.

WHATTAHELL AM I MISSING HERE???????????????????????????????????????

Please get me straightened up. Cause I am afraid I am gonna soon buy some more. A lot more to be honest.

Btw. I do not mind if we get a reverse split. The stock price is already fukked enough to get really tempted to go beyond-balls-deep in this one. So a considerable discount would not be a bad thing really.

(Buy the dip, I guess.)

Btw2. I got into this a couple of months before the merger. Sold away with a loss. Bought back causiously - nothing except slow downhill happened. And since summer have been coming back in. And now considering at least a doubling down. To start with.

Btw3. I have a lot more of numbers in my spreadsheet and I just do not know what to think of them. Everything seems to be pointing to the same direction. My prognosis is STRONG BUY.

NO TARGET PRICE. Do not possess imagination wild enough.

PLEASE PROVE ME THAT I AM WRONG BEFORE I DO SOMETHING THAT WILL MAKE ME SEND the UGLIEST POSSIBLE LOSS-PORN TO YOU APES TO JERK OFF ON.

Peace and love.

RWA