In China Octopus with Broken Arms wins the 1st weekend of the year with $16.01M(-24%)/$74.34M ahead of Big World in 2nd with $11.36M(-58%)/$77.48M. Honey Money Phony in 3rd adds $7.51/$28.98M. Sonic 3 pre-sales hit $34k. Just a $5k increase today. Less than half of Musafa($74k) at the same point.
Weekend Box Office (January 3rd-5th)
Octopus with Broken Arms wins its 2nd weekend convincingly as it closes onto Big Worlds total.
Big World has to settle for 2nd.
Honey Money Phony puts in very respectable weekend post its NY Eve/Day Holiday opening.
| # | Movie | Gross | %LW | Total Gross | Total Admissions | Weekends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Octopus with Broken Arms | $16.01M | -24% | $74.34M | 12.94M | 2 |
| 2 | Big World | $11.36M | -58% | $77.48M | 14.15M | 2 |
| 3 | Honey Money Phony | $7.51M | $28.98M | 5.42M | 1 | |
| 4 | Hot Pot Artist(Release) | $2.35M | $2.35M | 0.51M | 1 | |
| 5 | Detective Conan 7 | $1.54M | -65% | $13.85M | 2.64M | 2 |
| 6 | Padington In Peru | $1.37M | $3.97M | 0.75M | 1 | |
| 7 | The Proscecutor | $1.24M | -68% | $31.15M | 5.59M | 2 |
| 8 | Mufasa: The Lion King | $0.79M | -66% | $13.77M | 2.46M | 3 |
| 9 | The Last Dance | $0.92M | -58% | $26.45M | 5.07M | 4 |
| 10 | Out Of Order | $0.62M | $4.83M | 0.84M | 1 |
Daily Box Office(January 5th 2024)
The market hits ¥105.0M/$14.3M which is down -23% from yesterday and down -36% versus last week.
Sonic 3 hits $34k in pre-sales for next Friday. Another poor $5k increase since yesterday. Now at less than half of Mufasa which was at $74k at this point increasing $22k on the same day. Continues to massively outpace Sonic 1 which had just $6k total in pre-sales on this day.
Province map of the day:
Unchanced from yesterday.
In Metropolitan cities:
Octopus with Broken Arms wins Beijing, Chongqing, Chengdu, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Suzhou, Nanjing and Hangzhou and Shanghai
City tiers:
Octopus with Broken Arms continues to lead in all tiers.
Tier 1: Octopus with Broken Arms>Big World>Honey Money Phony
Tier 2: Octopus with Broken Arms>Big World>Honey Money Phony
Tier 3: Octopus with Broken Arms>Big World>Honey Money Phony
Tier 4: Octopus with Broken Arms>Big World>Honey Money Phony
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Octopus with Broken Arms | $4.97M | -27% | -45% | 115715 | 0.85M | $74.34M | $97M-$99M |
| 2 | Big World | $3.59M | -24% | -54% | 98685 | 0.66M | $77.48M | $91M-$92M |
| 3 | Honey Money Phony | $2.49M | -20% | 68868 | 0.53M | $28.98M | $47M-$55M | |
| 4 | Hot Pot Artist(Release) | $0.62M | -10% | 25266 | 0.14M | $2.35M | $4M-$6M | |
| 5 | Detective Conan 7 | $0.53M | -26% | -53% | 24102 | 0.10M | $13.85M | $14M-$16M |
| 6 | Padington In Peru | $0.49M | +28% | 25975 | 0.09M | $3.97M | $7M-$10M | |
| 7 | The Proscecutor | $0.47M | +7% | -55% | 17814 | 0.08M | $31.15M | $32M-$33M |
| 8 | Mufasa: The Lion King | $0.34M | -3% | -64% | 9125 | 0.06M | $13.77M | $15M-$16M |
| 9 | The Last Dance | $0.32M | -11% | -53% | 7374 | 0.06M | $26.45M | $28M-$29M |
| 10 | Out Of Order | $0.18M | -25% | 14818 | 0.03M | $4.83M | $5M-$7M |
*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
Big World remains strong pre-sales wise.
https://i.imgur.com/dfRNKf2.png
Big World
Big World sligtly over projections for Sunday landing in its expected range for the weekend. Its fading compared to Octopus and will likely get overtaken in total gross by next weekend.
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.4(-0.1), Taopiaopiao: 9.6(-0.1), Douban: 7.2(-0.1)
Gender Split(M-W): 15-85
Age Split: Under 20: 18.2%, 20-24: 38.2%, 25-29: 22.4%, 30-34: 10.7%, 35-39: 4.7%, Over 40: 5.8%
City Tiers: T1: 16.4%, T2: 51.5%, T3: 15.0%, T4: 17.0%
Most Popular Province: Guangdong: 12.3%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 4.8%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: 97.7%, Rest: 3.3%
Language split: Mandarin: 100%
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $7.15M | $12.30M | $7.89M | $4.14M | $19.10M | $12.79M | $2.75M | $66.12M |
| Second Week | $3.02M | $4.75M | $3.59M | / | / | / | / | $77.48M |
| %± LW | -58% | -61% | -54% | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Big World for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 99717 | $930k | $3.44M-$3.52M |
| Monday | 85382 | $222k | $1.36M-$1.43M |
| Tuesday | 50914 | $100k | $1.24M-$1.29M |
Octopus with Broken Arms
Octopus with Broken Arms has a better Sunday than projected which pushes it past $16M for the weekend.
Aims for $2M+ tomorrow.
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.3 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5, Douban: 6.2
Gender Split(M-W): 50-50
Age Split: Under 20: 5.7%, 20-24: 24.0%, 25-29: 26.8%, 30-34: 16.5%, 35-39: 11.8%, Over 40: 15.2%
City Tiers: T1: 25.8%, T2: 49.2%, T3: 12.9%, T4: 12.1%
Most Popular Province: Guangdong: 14.0%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 8.8%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: 90.5%, IMAX: 7.3, Rest: 2.2%
Language split: Mandarin: 100%
| # | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | FRI | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $11.99M | $9.03M | $4.70M | $14.82M | $14.09M | $3.70M | $4.27M | $62.60M |
| Second Week | $6.77M | $4.97M | / | / | / | / | / | $74.34M |
| %± LW | -44% | -45% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Octopus with Broken Arms for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 116267 | $390k | $4.72M-$4.80M |
| Monday | 103815 | $116k | $2.08M-$2.23M |
| Tuesday | 63850 | $17k | $1.90M-$2.00M |
Mufasa: The Lion King
Mufasa continues its push towards $14M which should happen by next weekend.
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.1, Taopiaopiao: 9.3, Douban: 6.6
Gender Split(M-W): 38-62
Age Split: Under 20: 5.0%, 20-24: 17.4%, 25-29: 21.1%, 30-34: 20.9%, 35-39: 15.8%, Over 40: 19.8%
City Tiers: T1: 29.3%, T2: 52.4%, T3: 9.8%, T4: 8.5%
Most Popular Province: Guangdong: 14.3%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 10.6%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: 87.4%, IMAX: 7.8%, Rest: 2.0%
Language split: English Version: 48.5%, Mandarin: 51.5%
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Second Week | $0.39M | $0.98M | $0.96M | $0.13M | $0.28M | $0.77M | $0.06M | $12.98M |
| Third Week | $0.10M | $0.35M | $0.34M | / | / | / | / | $13.77M |
| %± LW | -72% | -64% | -64% | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Mufasa: The Lion King for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 9051 | $60k | $0.34M-$0.39M |
| Monday | 5108 | $8k | $0.03M-$0.05M |
| Tuesday | 3075 | $1k | $0.03M-$0.05M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Sonic 3 which will release on January 10th. Captain America 4 is confirmed for a release but doesn't have an exact date yet.
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January:
January for now remains baren. It will be an incredibly backloaded month with Spring Festival starting on the 29th. So far 5 movies have been officialy confirmed for it. Creation Of The Gods P2. A sequel to a very well received movie from last year that made $360M. With the prime date and coming off good reception i have little doubt P2 will increase from the 1st movie.
The Next Boonie Bears movie. China's prime animation franchise which has been a Spring Festival mainstay for a decade now with next year being the 11th consecutive year a Boonie Bears movie releases for Spring Festival. The franchise has seen a steady increase in box office with last years movie hitting a franchise peak $280M+
The Legend of the Condor Heroes. A longtime anticipated Marshal arts movie has also been confirmed for a release.
In a surprising twist Ne Zha 2 the follow up to Nezha from 2019 which to this day remains the biggest animation of all time in a single market with $730M+ has been announced to also be releasing during the Spring Festival.
Detective Chinatown 1900 which has wraped filming this year. The Sequel or better said Prequel will try to wash away the incredibly bad reception of DC3. A movie which opened to a record breaking $399M across 3 days beating out End Game's US opening. But only grossed $680M+.
And as of today Operation Leviathan has joined and likely completed the lineup. A followup to 2018's massive success Operation Red Sea which grossed $579M.
What should be the strongest Spring Festival lineup of all time is now complete.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonic 3 | 28k | +1k | 11k | +1k | 41/59 | Family/Comedy | 10.01 | $3-5M |
| Detective Chinatown 1900 | 471k | +21k | 103k | +4k | 36/64 | Drama/Comedy | 29.01 | $411-478M |
| The Legend of the Condor Heroes | 437k | +6k | 932k | +10k | 22/78 | Martial Arts | 29.01 | $61-123M |
| Ne Zha 2 | 416k | +14k | 224k | +5k | 38/62 | Animation/Fantasy | 29.01 | $493-575M |
| Creation Of The Gods Part 2 | 373k | +9k | 1079k | +8k | 43/57 | War/Fantasy | 29.01 | $343-422M |
| Boonie Bears:Future Reborn | 207k | +6k | 111k | +4k | 35/65 | Animation/Comedy | 29.01 | $205-240M |
| Operation Leviathan | 107k | +3k | 119k | +4k | 41/59 | Drama/Action | 29.01 | $54-164M |
February
Captain America 4 is confirmed for a 2025 release but it is very likely to release on February 14th.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Captain America 4: Brave New World | 60k | +2k | 50k | +1k | 52/48 | Comic Book/Action | February |