Israel-Hamas ceasefire

Who would have believed that it has arrived but there is a hostage deal and a ceasefire in Gaza. Trump and Biden fight over the credit and Netanyahu signed the deal. As it seems, that's what happened, in my opinion

  • Trump is popular in Israel. Unlike Biden, Harris and previously Obama, who would be seen in Israel as those who are dragged along by the progressives and do not take a hard hand against the progressives and Islamists in the United States and the protesters against Israel, bow down to Iran and pressure Israel to make dangerous compromises for the Palestinians, Trump is seen as an authentic representative of what the Israelis hate (the American and anti-Israel left that supports the Palestinians). Obama and Biden were Netanyahu's personal electoral assets, while with Trump, who is a rock star in Israel, it is better for him not to quarrel.
  • Usually when Netanyahu makes tactical compromises it is to get a bigger payoff. When he gave the Bar Ilan speech in which he recognized a Palestinian state and when he later froze construction in Judea and Samaria, he received a return from Obama who imposed sanctions (albeit light sanctions and he was dragged by Congress but still) on Iran. When Netanyahu released Palestinian murderers in 2014, he got in return that the Americans had to turn a blind eye to construction in Judea and Samaria or at least swallow it and not create a crisis like they did at the beginning of Obama's term. Recently there was talk of attacking the Iranian nuclear, a move that Netanyahu began preparing the ground for, Israeli sovereignty over parts of Judea and Samaria, which is Netanyahu's dream since 2020 and to some extent he sees this as his historical legacy in addition to the agreement with Saudi Arabia. Many of Trump's staff and donors are even close to Netanyahu, so it is not impossible.
  • Trump's top donor besides Musk is Miriam Adelson. Miriam Adelson is a passionate Zionist, but is identified with the anti-Bibiist right (Naftali Bennett) so it is not impossible that she sided with Trump to push for a deal quickly.
    • For those who don't know, Miriam Adelson is in conflict with the Netanyahu family. She and her husband Sheldon testified to the Israeli police that "Netanyahu takes his rich friends for granted," Netanyahu demanded that the Adelsons fire the editor of the bibist free newspaper "Israel Today" because he was a "weak man" and that Sarah even once yelled at Miriam for "If Iran becomes a nuclear state and Israel is wiped off the map, it will be because she (Miriam) does not protect Bibi"
  • It may be easier for Israel to swallow a deal now because the Trump administration will have greater Israeli freedom of action than under Biden.
  • Unlike the deal in May when Hamas was still on its feet, Hamas is now worn out and in a bad shape with almost all of its leaders eliminated.