This sub desperately needs to tone down it's expectations for the Oscars
Obviously everyone here loves Wicked and wants to see it win everything but it's not going to. Ariana has a fighting chance at Supporting Actress and it could get one or two techs but I wouldn't count on it. Cynthia isn't really even in the top three to win it.
I know nobody wants to hear this but to be completely honest I don't think there's a single category where it's the "favourite" to win, it could very easily walk away with nothing.